Comparing today’s recession/depression to the 1980 recession

Comparing today's recession/depression to the 1980 recession

"Much like today, Americans were concerned not only with high unemployment but increasing budget deficits in the early 1980s. A September 1983 Gallup poll found that three-fourths of the public agreed that the federal government's budget deficit was a great threat (42%) or some

Read More

Why savers are getting screwed

Why savers are getting screwed

"Without the intervention of economic policymakers, interest rates would be naturally higher. That would increase the cost of borrowing for businesses and consumers, but there would be some offsetting economic benefits. Savers are getting screwed by the current monetary policy

Read More

Geithner admits USA bankrupt to US Senate

Geithner admits USA bankrupt to US Senate

"Never in our history has Congress failed to increase the debt limit when necessary. Failure to raise the limit would precipitate a default by the United States. Default would effectively impose a significant and long-lasting tax on all Americans and all American businesses

Read More

Real reason for electricity blackouts hitting southern US

Real reason for electricity blackouts hitting southern US

“Large oil companies have for a decade artificially shorted the gasoline market to drive up prices,” said FTCR president Jamie Court. “Oil companies know they can make more money by making less gasoline.” The following article was written by Paul Joseph Watson. He is t

Read More

World economies on verge of currency revaluations to deal with debt

World economies on verge of currency revaluations to deal with debt

"It is well enough that people of the nation do not understand our banking and monetary system, for if they did, I believe there would be a revolution before tomorrow morning." -- Henry Ford Basically what the world central banks are doing is increasing their money by devaluin

Read More

Is Obama the next Mugabe of Zimbabwe?

Is Obama the next Mugabe of Zimbabwe?

"America, Britain, Japan, Germany, France, Sweden, Holland, Norway, Canada and Australia make up the Fishmongers Group and their meeting on Tuesday will deliberate on the state of the inclusive government, debt relief, public finance administration and the controversial economi

Read More

US raiding foreign countries with dollars, not soldiers

US raiding foreign countries with dollars, not soldiers

""The United States is going to China and saying: we want you to commit economic suicide, just like Japan did. We want you to follow the same thing: we want you to revalue your currency, we want you to squeeze your companies, we want you to go bankrupt,” says Michael Hudson,

Read More

FDIC wants your retirement cash to save banks: Bloomberg

FDIC wants your retirement cash to save banks: Bloomberg

“The FDIC is constantly looking at structures where we can get the greatest opportunity to tap into capital that we have not had the success reaching through previous disposition methods,” FDIC spokeswoman Michele Heller said in an e-mailed statement. “We welcome and work

Read More

Canadian government admits recovery never happened

Canadian government admits recovery never happened

“Not only did their stimulus fail to create the jobs of tomorrow, it also failed to protect the jobs of today,” Scott Brison, the opposition Liberal Party’s spokesman for finance issues, said by telephone. "Most of us were shaking our heads in disbelief early last year w

Read More

How Western society is brainwashed and crumbling

How Western society is brainwashed and crumbling

"The cultural embrace of illusion, and the celebrity culture that has risen up around it, have accompanied a growing system of casino capitalism, with its complicated and unregulated deals of turning debt into magical assets, to create fictional wealth for us, and vast wealth f

Read More

Will we see double digit interest rates from the 1980s?

Will we see double digit interest rates from the 1980s?

"And I sincerely believe, with you, that banking establishments are more dangerous than standing armies; and that the principle of spending money to be paid by posterity, under the name of funding, is but swindling futurity on a large scale." -- Thomas Jefferson Spending is

Read More

Greenspan: credit crunch “by far the greatest financial crisis”

Greenspan: credit crunch by far the greatest financial crisis

Greenspan said that while the economy was in worse shape in the Great Depression, the recent financial crisis was potentially more harmful than that in the 1930s because “never had short-term credit literally withdrawn.” Greenspan just said that the current credit crunch

Read More

Content By: The Coming Depression Editorial Staff (dates cited below)
Copyright: include link to this article on top of reproduction if you use it.
Bookmark and Share
(No Ratings Yet)
Loading ... Loading ...

diversification

Just because investment banks and stock brokerages say you should diversify doesn’t make it true. For the knowledgeable investor, diversification for its own sake merely reduces profits. So, if you’re an independent thinker, what are your alternatives?

Talk with an investment advisor, and what’s the first piece of advice you will hear? Diversify your portfolio. The case for diversification is repeated so often that it’s come to be thought of as an indisputable rule. Hardly anyone makes the case against diversifying your portfolio. But because we believe that too much liquidity has made all markets act similar to one another, we make that case. Heresy? Not at all. Just because investment banks and stock brokerages say you should diversify doesn’t make it true. After all, their analysts nearly always say that the markets look bullish and that people should buy more now. For a breath of fresh air on this subject, read what Bob Prechter thinks about diversification.

Excerpt taken from Prechter’s Perspective, originally published 2002, re-published 2004

Question: In recent years, mainstream experts have made the ideas of “buy and hold” and diversification almost synonymous with investing. What about diversification? Now it is nearly universally held that risk is reduced through acquisition of a broad-based portfolio of any imaginable investment category. Where do you stand on this idea?

Bob Prechter: Diversification for its own sake means you don’t know what you’re doing. If that is true, you might as well hold Treasury bills or a savings account. My opinion on this question is black and white, because the whole purpose of being a market speculator is to identify trends and make money with them. The proper approach is to take everything you can out of anticipated trends, using indicators that help you do that. Those times you make a mistake will be made up many times over by the successful investments you make. Some people say that is the purpose of diversification, that the winners will overcome the losers. But that stance requires the opinion that most investment vehicles ultimately go up from any entry point. That is not true, and is an opinion typically held late in a period when it has been true. So ironically, poor timing is often the thing that kills people who claim to ignore timing.

Sometimes the correct approach will lead to a diversified portfolio. There are times I have been long U.S. stocks, short bonds, short the Nikkei, and long something else. Other times, I’ve kept a very concentrated market position. My advice from mid-1984 to October 2, 1987, for instance, was to remain 100% invested in the U.S. stock market. During the bull market, I raised the stop-loss at each point along the wave structure where I could identify definite points of support. If I was wrong, investors would have been out of their positions. The potential was five times greater on the upside than the risk was on the downside, and five times greater in the stock market than any other area. Twice recently, in 1993 and 1995, I have had big positions in precious metals mining stocks when they appeared to me to be the only game in town. In 1993, it worked great, and they gained 100% in ten months. Diversification would have eliminated the profit. And every so often, an across-the-board deflation smashes all investments at once, and the person who has all his eggs in one basket, in this case cash, stays whole while everyone else gets killed.

We’re providing a free download/copy of the FREE report that explains the holes in the diversification argument.

Related posts:

  1. Retirement advice for today’s unstable climate“Statistically, the more people are involved in their own investments decisions – as opposed to solely relying on an advisor’s advice – the better they do. The only way to...
  2. What's REALLY Driving The DJIA Higher?Earnings: Is That REALLY What’s Driving The DJIA Higher? The idea of earnings driving the broad stock market is a myth. October 22, 2009 By Vadim Pokhlebkin It’s corporate earnings...
  3. Stock Market Crash Dead Ahead Say Faber, Rogers, Dent and CelenteBy Mac Slavo of MarketOracle UK After a massive upswing in US stocks over the last six months, the recent rally may finally be coming to an end. It seems...
  4. Silver is best hedge against inflationThanks to gold’ selling about 50 times the price of silver, you may be perplexed to hear that silver is more precious than gold. It seems an obvious contradiction, but...
  5. Interest Rates To Rise Significantly WorldwideIt has been predicted by many financial analysts that the interest rates which central banks around the world set their prices at is about to swiftly move upward due to...
  6. Can Main Street Catch Up with Wall Street?“The Dow is up and many economists see an end to the recession. Try telling that to the rising ranks of those losing their jobs and houses.” — Moira Herbst...

This entry was posted on Friday, February 18th, 2011 at 7:02 pm and is filed under Survival Tips. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.

1 Comment

  1. February 18, 2011 @ 11:12 pm


    But U are a speculator not an investor.
    U probably double down on everything in Vegas too.
    That however is not good advice for
    a young couple with kids
    nor a grandparent on a fixed income.
    Who do U think your demographics are ??

    Posted by Markangelo

Leave a Comment

Please note: Comment moderation is enabled and may delay your comment. There is no need to resubmit your comment.


Under the 'fair use' rule of copyright law, an author may make limited use of another author's work without asking permission. Fair use is based on the belief that the public is entitled to freely use portions of copyrighted materials for purposes of commentary and criticism. The fair use privilege is perhaps the most significant limitation on a copyright owner's exclusive rights. "